Understanding the Odds | Australasian Gaming Council (2024)

Gaming Machines (Poker Machines, "Pokies")

Gaming machines aregames of chance.

Theoutcome of each and every spinon agaming machine is determined by software known as a ‘Random Number Generator’ (RNG).

The RNGproduces an entirely random result -foreach and everyspin.

Every spin is entirely independent of spins that have gone before (or spins that may come after) and there is no way of playing any machine that can influence theRNG in any way.

The odds of winning a jackpot or other prize on a gaming machine can vary.

    In general, the larger the jackpot or prize, the smaller the chance (or odds) of winning it.

    For example, the odds of winning the top prize on a "Black Rhino" gaming machine (5 Black Rhinos at $1 bet per line) are 1 in 9,765,625.*

    The chance of winning a prize on each and every individual line of a gaming machine is around 1 in 10, but the prize won is more likely to be a small prize of two credits than any other return.In other words,the chance of no prizeon anindividual line is around 9 in 10.

    This video from Aristocrat Technologies explains how a bet on a gaming machine works:

    This video from Aristocrat Technologies explains the odds of winning a jackpot:

    Gaming machines in Australia are required to have an expected (theoretical) ‘Return to Player’ percentage (RTP).

    Minimum RTP is set by regulation (between 85-90%) but this does not mean that any individual player can expect to see a return of 85-90%on any spin - or even on many spins over time.

    RTP is a long term average, based on the rules of mathematical probability overmillions, or even billions, of spins.

    This video from Aristocrat Technologies explains the meaning ofRTP in a modern gaming machine:

    Sound can also be used in a modern gaming machine to inform players of machine events.

    This video from Aristocrat Technologies explains the use of sound in a modern gaming machine:

    Looking for more information? You can access aPlayer Information Booklet from the Gaming Technologies Association here

    Lotteries, Scratch Tickets & Keno

    Lotteries

    If you buy a lottery ticket you are participatingina game of chance.

    Odds for lotteries vary according to the type of lottery played - with Division 1 referring to the top prize (or Jackpot)in a lottery draw.

    • Winning Division 1 of Oz Lotto( 7 winning numbers, based on one standard game) has odds of 1 in 45,379,620
    • WinningDivision 1 of TattsLotto(6 winning numbers, one standard game) has odds of 1 in 8,145,060
    • Winning Division 1 of Powerball(7 winning numbers + the Powerball) has odds of 1 in134,490,400.

    Not all lottery prizes are large (there area number of divisions) butthe larger the prize, the lessyour chances of winning.

    The Lott (the provider of lotteries in most Australian states/territories) provides more information about the odds of lottery games as part of their Responsible Play information.

    Scratch Tickets ("Instant Scratch Its", "Scratchies")

    Scratch tickets can be describedas an"instant lottery". Theodds will depend on the type of scratch ticket- and the number of tickets printed.

    Theodds for the top prize on a $5 ticket can be as much as 1 in 1,700,000.

    The Lott (the provider of lotteries in most Australian states/territories) provides more information about the odds of scratch ticketsas part of their Responsible Play information.

    Keno

    Keno is also a game of chance.

    The odds will differ, according to the games played and the amount of numbers the player hopes to "spot".

    The odds of winning a larger Jackpot (Spot 10)are1 in 8,911,711 whereas the odds for winning a smaller Jackpot (Spot 7) are 1 in 40,979.

    The odds willdiffer according to the games you play -but inall games of chance the odds are against you winning the jackpot or big prize.

    Casino Table Games

    Casinos offer a variety of table games. Just some examples includeRoulette, Blackjack, Pai Gow, Baccarat and Poker.

    Depending on the game, the odds will vary, and can vary within the game itself.

    For example, Roulette (a chance based game), hasodds from 2 to 1 all the way up to35 to 1.

    Some casino table games are completely chance based, while others mayinvolve an element of skill.

    For example, in Blackjack and Poker skill is anelement of the game -but chance still plays a role - and chancedetermines the hand any player is dealt.

    No player, however skilled,can be sure of a winning hand - at any time.

    Every casino in Australasia makes the game rules and odds easily accessible on their websites, Information Desks or electronic information terminals as well as atthe gaming table.

    Game Rules include information such as:

    • Government Regulations
    • Rules of Play
    • House Margins
    • Odds of Winning

    Be informed of the rules and odds ofanygame before you playand, as with any other form of gambling, never bet more than you can afford to lose.

    Racing and Sports Betting

    Bookmakers determine the likelihood of a horse race or a sporting event using a formula.

    All odds are an indication of the probability of an outcome of an event using the formula:

    B / (A + B) = Probability (%)

    For example, if odds of 9/1 are presented, there is a 10% chance of that bet winning:

    1 / (9+1) = 10%

    In other words, a horse or runner that is priced by a bookie as 9/1 has been determined to have a 10% chance of winning the race.

    In Australia, odds are generally displayed as a decimal and odds of 9/1 are displayed as $10. Which means for every $1 bet a win would return$10.

    Sport plays a large role in Australianculture and society,but even if you feel you have great knowledge ofthe sport, don't overestimate your chances - on any bet.

    Many factors (over which you have no influence) can influencethe outcome of an event. You cannot control how any horse will run, or how any team will play on the day.

    There's no such thing as a "sure thing".

    * Problem Gambling SA- Odds,Myths and Facts

    Helpful Links & Resources

    Gambling Help Online - What are the Odds

    The Lott - Responsible Play

    The Lott - Odds of Winning

    Problem Gambling SA - Odds, Myths and Facts

    Understanding the Odds | Australasian Gaming Council (2024)
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